Analysis
How Poverty Reduction Can Survive Deglobalization
By sharply curtailing international trade, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated a trend that was already underway. It is now more important than ever for developing countries…
Republished
Can Moscow Manage a Power Transition in Belarus?
From an overripe apple that looked sure to drop into Moscow’s lap all on its own, the Belarusian regime is increasingly coming to resemble a toxic…
Analysis
India’s silenced parliament
After a nearly six-month hiatus, the Indian parliament reconvenes today in the midst of a deepening national crisis. But I fear that it may be unable…
Analysis
Donald Trump’s lonely victory in the Middle East
The US president has trampled over the conventional wisdom of the whole foreign policy establishment Success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan, an old…
Republished
Abenomics After Abe
Reviving Japan’s sluggish economy will require incoming Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga to make a clear break from his predecessor and patron, Shinzo Abe, and pursue wide-ranging…
Republished
Foreign-policy sleepwalking: Wake up to Germany no longer being such a good ally
A line in the sublime Hilary Mantel trilogy of Henry VIII's fixer, Thomas Cromwell, perfectly encapsulates the highest aspirations of the political risk profession. The goal…
Republished
Iran’s secular shift: new survey reveals huge changes in religious beliefs
Iran’s 1979 Islamic revolution was a defining event that changed how we think about the relationship between religion and modernity. Ayatollah Khomeini’s mass mobilisation of Islam…
Republished
Time for the Palestinian people to take the initiative
As Palestinians protested against the deals signed in the White House by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the foreign ministers of the UAE and Bahrain…
Analysis
Biden’s foreign policy fairy tale threatens a strategic train wreck
It is mid-September, under two months until the presidential election, and it’s finally time to start taking the polls seriously. And, at present, despite some slippage,…
Republished
What Triggered Recent Chinese Naval Exercises In The South China Sea?
During the last few months, the PLA Navy along with the PLA Air Force conducted several exercises in the South China Sea. China used these maneuvers…
Analysis
Bangladesh: Foreign Policy And Public Opinion On The Delhi-Dhaka Relationship
Indian media analysis of Bangladesh-India relations tends to be hyperbolic, reductive, and misleading. Such coverage usually dilutes its complexity and sets an unrealistic bar for the…
Analysis
Why a vaccine can provide better immunity than an actual infection
Two recent studies have confirmed that people previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, can be reinfected with the virus. Interestingly, the two people…